Playing 4 Keeps™

Gaming Newsletter for Winners

Gaming Workshops Since 1995

Playing 4 Keeps™

A Newsletter For Winners

February 2012

Volume 14 Issue 2

Copyright ©2012 Michael Vernon

"Luck Has Nothing To Do With It When You Are Playing 4 Keeps!"

Private Lessons for the Games:

The Professor Michael Vernon has "amped" up gaming lessons with the metaphysics for a winning life.

• Craps: There for three different skill levels including lessons in dice setting.

• Blackjack: For the Beginner or experienced player. Basic Strategy to Card Counting, and a lot more.

• Texas Hold'em: For beginners and intermediate players. No-Limit Hold'em lessons for tournaments or cash games.

It's your call. Look Michael up and get help with your game. The lessons are presented in Pueblo, Colorado and you can arrange for your private lesson at Playing 4 Keeps.

What About the Gaps In Mike's Machine?

Professor Michael:

Thanks for the links you sent me for your newsletter, very interesting to read. I really liked the part where you are talking about the series of events that happens when I first pickup the dice until I either make my point, or throw a 7 is about 3.37 rolls. 

This is the reason I wanted to play the come out with my place bets working. If I wait and do not play the come out then there are only 2.37 rolls left for me to get a hit on.  Am I all wet?

 It is more complicated. There is the math and then the rules of the game. The math does not consider a game. It is just the numbers and their possibilities. Math explains the possibilities as the probability of two six sided dice rolling with all the combinations out of thirty-six.  The rules of a craps game say the game ends on a seven. However, not all sevens end the game. Some sevens occur on a come out roll. The rules of the game hinge on the math, not the other way around. 

Odds on a seven being thrown on come out, the math is 16.67% for a seven to be rolled. Then what would be the odds or percent of throwing a repeating seven?

The odds are always the same. There are some players believing that since a particular number has rolled that it has satisfied the math for that number. They falsely assume that if the same number were to roll again that the odds change. If you carefully examine a pair of dice and watch them for three hours, they will not move. They will just sit there, waiting patiently, until someone picks them up and chucks them down the layout. All the while as dice are sitting there, waiting to be tossed, they are not focused on remembering the last number rolled to add to their “little record book” of numbers rolled. Dice have no memory. Dice are dumb.

The part where Hawaii Mike shows the gaps

What is the Gap?  It is the first roll? 

Thanks!

 

The gap is the number of rolls in between the sevens. A zero gap occurs with two or more sevens back to back. In Mike’s mathematical trial there is no beginning or ending of a game. It is just the record of over 666,000 outcomes from the random number generator that Mike created. The article Mike in Hawaii wrote was intended to explain games when a shooter rolls for example 48 times without a seven the gap between sevens is 48. Yes it does happen in a real game. I explain this occurrence as an expression of metaphysical conditions. Mike explained it as math. As far as I am concerned, Mike satisfies my theory of metaphysics with his math. Dice do not know to roll six sevens every 36 times and only one twelve, for example. In thirty-six rolls you are very unlikely to get exact outcomes as described by probability. However, after 2.5 million rolls you will. In addition the data will disclose the gaps between numbers, for example the seven, which is sometimes way out of probability. But in the end the math all works out. If you have a very long roll without sevens, the math will even up by having a bunch of short rolls, shorter gaps between sevens. Because of the longer rolls and their infrequent occurrence, we tend to see shorter hands and choppy games. The long hands with large gaps between sevens are occasional in comparison. The actual math does not support what I just said, but metaphysics does and so did Mike In Hawaii’s “machine”. Again, when you think of any session as just a continuance of a 2.5 million roll game, maybe it begins to make sense?

The articles referred to are found in October 2006 issue of Playing 4 Keeps Newsletter for Winners and August 2007.

P4K news http://www.playing4keeps.com/Newsletters/2006/06news.vol8.10.htm

P4K news http://www.playing4keeps.com/Newsletters/2007/August.htm

 

That’s it for this edition of the Playing 4 Keeps™ Newsletter.

 

See you at the tables,

Michael Vernon

                                               

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Do's and Don'ts of Dice Playbook

 

Good book.  I was looking for a method to make regular bets without distracting my rolls.  I have had some good rolls but never was able to take advantage of them.  I also have seen some other players having good rolls but has too discouraged by previous table action to make good bets. 

 

Your method of $5 pass line with double odds is great.  I used the 50% increase method and before I knew it I was betting $10 with $20 odds on a point of 10 and it hit.  During that same game I noticed that the shooter was rolling a lot of inside numbers and decided to go with the 3 press on the 6 or eight.  I started with $6 on each and when the 6 hit with $18 on it I took both bets down.  The shooter ended up 7 out in a few more rolls.

 

Thanks again,

 Ed P.                                                       Playbook

2012 Dice Busters™

The June 23rd Program has ~Sold Out~

Ask My Dog Mousse?

 

Mousse,

What do you think about betting $32 across and working the come out roll?

Thanks, Bubba

 

Hey Bubba,

 

I think that I do not like the concept. What do you think about losing $32 on a come out seven? Let’s say you do take a hit on the come out and now down $32 you set up for another for another play with $32 and risk facing another seven on the come out. You do not explain how you intend to play the $32 across which is big piece of the the puzzle. It makes difficult for me to give you a complete answer here. Man’s gotta have a plan.

 

Anyway, if you survive the second come out you have to win a minimum of four place bets and two of them have to be either 4 or 10 just to be back to even. I am not saying that it can’t be done. I am saying I do not like the concept. Having to risk $64 just to be even?

 

You may be thinking, and you should be if you are not, that every time the dice are rolled the odds are exactly the same for the appearance of a seven. Here’s the math. 45% of Pass Line wins are going to come on naturals; 75% of those naturals are going to come on Winner Sevens; and, Winner Sevens are going to constitute just over 33% of all wins. You’d be better off betting your $32 on the Pass Line. Only pays even money, but a hell of a lot less vig, meaning less exposure. Plus, after three consecutive wins on a come out, it is possible for you to have won $224 in profit compare to $27 from a 4/10 place bet with three wins.

 

Hope this helps,

 

Mousse

 

PS I had to pull the math stuff from the Professor’s playbook. I am, after all, just a dog.

Playbook

 

A follow up to Bubba's question from the Professor can be found at www.dicesetter.com Go to newsletters January 2012.

 

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SORRY football fans that I missed the tout. - In the January issue I predicted AFC Playoff Game - Broncos over the Steelers in overtime 23 to 20. It ended up Broncos 29 and Steelers 23. Does eleven seconds constitute as overtime? Mousse

 

If you have a question for Mousse, you may email him at his address.

mousse@playing4keeps.com

 

Opinions expressed by the contributing authors (and especially Mousse)

are not necessarily shared or endorsed by the publisher.

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2012 Schedule: Click Here

Michael Vernon

Playing 4 Keeps™ Seminars

P.O. Box 7791

Pueblo West, CO 81007

Email professor@playing4keeps.com

 

Playing 4 Keeps™ Newsletter written and published by Michael Vernon. It is intended to be informational and entertaining. Do not consider the information a guarantee for supplementing or replacing income. Casino games are adult entertainment and should be played for enjoyment. It is Michael’s intention to provide information so the reader may play with more satisfaction.

 

Copyright ©2012 All Rights Reserved Michael Vernon. Reproduction in whole or in part, without the consent of the publisher, Michael Vernon is prohibited.

 

Thanks to David Boufford and Positive News Network without whose help this publication would not have been possible.

www.positivenews.net

 

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